4024/22 Oct/Nov 2023, Question 5: Tree Diagrams for Dependent Events
Cambridge O Level Mathematics 4024 · Paper 22 (Calculator) · Calculator · 6 marks
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The question, in short
A bag has 40 balls, 28 red and the rest green; another has 9 blue and 7 yellow. Find probabilities, expected counts, complete a tree diagram, and find the probability of two same-colour balls.
Summarised in our own words. Use the official paper for the exact wording and the diagram.
Part (ai) · 1 mark
Find the probability that a randomly chosen ball from the 40-ball bag is green.
- 1Green balls = 40 − 28 = 12
- 2P(green) = 12/40
Answer12/40
Part (aii) · 1 mark
Find the expected number of green balls when the random draw is repeated 200 times with replacement.
- 112/40 × 200 = 60
Answer60
Part (bi) · 2 marks
Complete the tree diagram for two balls drawn without replacement from 9 blue and 7 yellow.
- 1First ball yellow: 7/16
- 2After blue: 15 left with 7 yellow, so yellow 7/15
- 3After yellow: 9 blue and 6 yellow of 15, so blue 9/15, yellow 6/15
AnswerCorrect tree diagram 7/16 on first branch 7/15 , 9/15 , 6/15 on second branches
Part (bii) · 2 marks
Find the probability that the two balls drawn without replacement are the same colour.
- 1P(both blue) = 9/16 × 8/15 = 72/240
- 2P(both yellow) = 7/16 × 6/15 = 42/240
- 3P(same colour) = 114/240 = 19/40
Answer19/40
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