4MA1/2F Jun 2018, Question 14: Combined Events with Two-Way Tables
Pearson Edexcel International GCSE Mathematics A 4MA1 · Paper 2F (Foundation) · Calculator · 4 marks
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The question, in short
Two sets of four cards A, B, C, D; one card drawn at random from each set, with a table of all 16 pairs. Find a probability and an expected count over 80 repeats.
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Part (a) · 2 marks
Using the 16 equally likely pairs, find the probability that at least one of the two cards drawn is marked C.
- 1List all outcomes with at least one C: AC, BC, CC, DC, CA, CB, CD
- 2Count the successful outcomes: 7
- 3Total possible outcomes: 16
- 4Probability = 7/16
Answer7/16
Part (b) · 2 marks
Cards are replaced each time; over 80 independent repeats, estimate how many times at least one card marked C is taken.
- 17 of the 16 pairs have at least one C, so P = 7/16.
- 2Estimate = 7/16 × 80
- 380 ÷ 16 = 5, and 7 × 5 = 35
Answer35
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