4MA1/2H Jun 2020, Question 20: Tree Diagrams for Dependent Events
Pearson Edexcel International GCSE Mathematics A 4MA1 · Paper 2H (Higher) · Calculator · 5 marks
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The question, in short
A bag holds X counters, red and blue only, with 4 more blue than red. Taking 2 counters at random gives probability 3/8 of both being blue. Find X using clear algebra.
Summarised in our own words. Use the official paper for the exact wording and any diagrams.
Solution · 5 marks
- 1Let the number of red counters be r. Then blue counters = r + 4. Total counters X = r + (r + 4) = 2r + 4.
- 2Probability first counter is blue = (r + 4) / (2r + 4)
- 3Probability second counter is blue = (r + 3) / (2r + 3)
- 4Probability both counters are blue = [(r + 4)/(2r + 4)] × [(r + 3)/(2r + 3)] = 3/8
- 5So: (r + 4)(r + 3) / [(2r + 4)(2r + 3)] = 3/8
- 6Multiply both sides by 8(2r + 4)(2r + 3): 8(r + 4)(r + 3) = 3(2r + 4)(2r + 3)
- 7Expand left: 8(r² + 7r + 12) = 8r² + 56r + 96
- 8Expand right: 3(4r² + 6r + 8r + 12) = 3(4r² + 14r + 12) = 12r² + 42r + 36
- 9Bring all to one side: 8r² + 56r + 96 − (12r² + 42r + 36) = 0
- 10−4r² + 14r + 60 = 0
- 11Multiply by −1: 4r² − 14r − 60 = 0
- 12Divide by 2: 2r² − 7r − 30 = 0
- 13Factorise: (2r + 5)(r − 6) = 0
- 14So r = 6 (since r cannot be negative)
- 15Then blue counters = 6 + 4 = 10
- 16Total counters X = 6 + 10 = 16
Answer16
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