Probability from Tables and Charts
Read a probability from a frequency table or chart, find x when a table of probabilities adds to 1, and turn a probability into a number of times or a total.
In the exam for Edexcel IGCSE Maths 4MA1, Cambridge IGCSE Maths 0580, Cambridge O Level Maths 4024 · 48 real past-paper questions below
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What a Probability Table Shows
Exam tables come in two kinds. Look at the numbers inside before you start.
| The table holds | You do |
| counts: how many | count over the total |
| probabilities: 0.3, 0.25 | they add up to 1 |
A chart works the same way. Read the bars or the slices, then use them like a table.
Rule
A count table: add every row to get the total first. A probability table: every row together makes 1.
Reading a Frequency Table
The 1 or 2-mark question: one person or thing is chosen at random. Find the probability from the table.
60 flights were late. The table shows how many minutes late.
| Minutes late | Flights |
| 14 | |
| 22 | |
| 15 | |
| 9 |
Worked example
- 1
— Add every row. This is the total number of flights, and it goes on the bottom of each probability.
- 2
— Only the first row is 5 minutes or less, so 14 flights out of 60.
- 3
— Divide the top and the bottom by 2 to simplify.
- 4
— More than 10 minutes means the last two rows, so add their counts.
- 5
— 15 + 9 = 24. Then divide the top and the bottom by 12.
Common mistake
Dividing by 4 because there are 4 rows. The bottom is the number of flights, 60.
From a pie chart. A pie chart shows how students travel to school: bus 150°, walk 96°, car 114°. One student is chosen at random. Find P(walk).
Worked example
- 1
— The slices make the whole circle, 360°. The circle stands for everyone, so 360 plays the part of the total.
- 2
— The walk slice's angle over the whole circle.
- 3
— Divide the top and the bottom by 24 to simplify.
Key idea
A bar chart? Read each bar's height, then use one bar over all the bars added, just like a table.
Find x in a Probability Table
The 4-mark question: a biased dice. Some probabilities are written with x. Make them add to 1, solve for x, then answer the question.
| Number | Probability |
| 1 | |
| 2 | 0.14 |
| 3 | |
| 4 | |
| 5 | 0.22 |
| 6 |
The dice is thrown 250 times. Estimate how many times it lands on an even number.
Worked example
- 1
— Collect the rows with x in them: 2 + 1 + 3 + 2 makes 8 lots of x.
- 2
— Add the rows that are plain numbers.
- 3
— The whole table must add up to 1, so write that as an equation.
- 4
— Take 0.36 from both sides.
- 5
— Divide both sides by 8 to find x.
- 6
— Even means 2, 4 and 6, so add those three rows.
- 7
— Put x = 0.08 into each row.
- 8
— Multiply first: 3 × 0.08 = 0.24 and 2 × 0.08 = 0.16. Then add.
- 9
— Probability times throws: about 135 even numbers in 250 throws.
Common mistake
Using x for row 4. Row 4 is 3x, so it is . Multiply every x before you add.
Key idea
Given a ratio instead, like blue : green = 5 : 2? Call them 5x and 2x, then use the same method. Writing “8x + 0.36 = 1” earns a method mark on its own.
Key idea
"Show that x + y = 0.19"? Write the sum of the whole row equal to 1, then take the known numbers across.
From One Count to the Total
The 4-mark twist: the table has probabilities, and one count is given. Use it to find how many there are in total.
Members chose their favourite book: comedy 0.2, romance 0.35, mystery , thriller . 36 members chose comedy. How many chose thriller?
Worked example
- 1
— Add the probabilities you know: comedy and romance.
- 2
— Mystery 2x and thriller x make 3x. They share what is left of 1.
- 3
— Divide by 3. This is P(thriller).
- 4
— The 36 comedy members are 0.2 of everyone, so probability times total gives 36.
- 5
— Divide both sides by 0.2 to find all the members.
- 6
— Probability times total: 27 members chose thriller.
Formula
Divide the count by its probability to get the total.
Common mistake
Working out . The 36 is part of the total, so the total must be bigger: divide.
Counts Written with x
Some questions write the counts in a bag with x, give the total, and give one probability. Turn the probability into an equation.
A bag has 60 counters. There are x + 5 red, 2x − 3 blue and x green. The rest are yellow. P(red) = . Find P(yellow).
Worked example
- 1
— Red is x + 5 counters out of 60. Set that equal to the probability you are given.
- 2
— Multiply both sides by 60. A quarter of 60 is 15, so there are 15 red counters.
- 3
— Take 5 from both sides.
- 4
— Put x = 10 into blue's expression: 20 − 3 = 17.
- 5
— Green is x counters, so 10.
- 6
— The rest of the bag is yellow, so take the other colours from 60.
- 7
— Yellow counters over the total, then divide the top and the bottom by 6.
Common mistake
Stopping at x = 10. x is not a count of any colour you were asked about. Put it back into each expression first.
Key idea
Check: 15 + 17 + 10 + 18 = 60, the whole bag.
Which Method? Read the Question
Look at what is inside the table, then at what the question wants.
| You see | You do |
| A table of counts | cell or rows over the total |
| A pie chart | slice angle over 360 |
| Probabilities with x | add to 1, solve for x |
| Estimate the number of times | probability × trials |
| A count is given too | count ÷ probability = total |
| Counts written with x, and a probability | count over total = probability, solve |
| Only the girls, given that | Conditional Probability |
| Experiment results | Relative Frequency and Expectation |
| Two facts about each person | Combined Events with Two-Way Tables |
Key idea
Check at the end: every probability is between 0 and 1, and a count is a whole number.
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